Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.401538 0.514023 0.635543 0.774932 0.928901 1.092465 1.278108
2025-10-12 0.254621 0.406355 0.586896 0.809530 1.069994 1.359579 1.700899
2025-10-19 0.196466 0.369234 0.588797 0.871598 1.213040 1.601589 2.067972
2025-10-26 0.148657 0.332635 0.582240 0.916605 1.331205 1.811962 2.397303
2025-11-02 0.103131 0.286045 0.553298 0.926038 1.400302 1.959947 2.650168
2025-11-09 0.055047 0.218290 0.484401 0.875612 1.389296 2.007976 2.782240
2025-11-16 0.022476 0.158802 0.415908 0.817055 1.361384 2.030455 2.879673
2025-11-23 0.008160 0.124832 0.379722 0.797896 1.380115 2.106768 3.038620
2025-11-30 0.002606 0.107270 0.367485 0.810786 1.439316 2.232020 3.255632
2025-12-07 0.000050 0.086077 0.344038 0.804245 1.470640 2.321068 3.427678
2025-12-14 NaN 0.062793 0.310151 0.778089 1.472859 2.371613 3.551279
2025-12-21 NaN 0.060350 0.320253 0.821209 1.570681 2.544112 3.825047
2025-12-28 NaN 0.059750 0.335948 0.876183 1.689157 2.748310 4.144730
2026-01-04 NaN 0.055556 0.342463 0.916475 1.787915 2.928440 4.436437
2026-01-11 NaN 0.057413 0.364035 0.981654 1.921722 3.153707 4.783980
2026-01-18 NaN 0.055523 0.375486 1.029814 2.031458 3.347992 5.093306
2026-01-25 NaN 0.046159 0.364844 1.039760 2.086224 3.470608 5.313195
2026-02-01 NaN 0.027577 0.319287 0.986150 2.047540 3.469915 5.377935
2026-02-08 NaN 0.012987 0.271922 0.923751 1.992637 3.445521 5.410966
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006809 0.249010 0.903310 1.997802 3.499162 5.541080
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004597 0.244259 0.917065 2.054047 3.620885 5.757537
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001973 0.229679 0.910086 2.078104 3.698961 5.918130
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000171 0.205996 0.882161 2.068715 3.731052 6.019348